Amelia Earhart, New Evidence, and the Chances of a Plane Crash

Even though she disappeared in 1937, Amelia Earhart has stayed in America’s mind. As the the first female pilot to fly solo across the Atlantic Ocean, Earhart is still celebrated today as an aviator, feminist, and role-model for many girls and women. But while her life was truly incredible, it’s Earhart’s death that has really captivated the world.

Amelia Earhart

Earhart disappeared on July 2nd, 1937, along with her navigator, Fred Noonan. She was attempting a circumnavigational flight around the world, but the plane vanished somewhere in the Pacific Ocean. To this day, there are dozens of hotly-contested theories about her disappearance. The most popular theory speculates that the plane plummeted into the ocean, where it is now miles below the surface. Another suggests that Earhart landed on Howland Island, a remote island in the Pacific, where she survived as a castaway. A stranger theory claims that Earhart actually crash-landed on a Japanese island. It further claims that she was either executed or held captive after being accused of spying for the United States during World War II.

Earhart is currently in the news thanks to a recently discovered photograph. The image, found in the National Archives, shows two people who resemble Earhart and Noonan on a dock in the Marshall Islands. If confirmed, the photo could point toward proof that Earhart survived. Based on facial characteristics and measurements, some experts are sure that the photograph depicts Earhart, while others remain skeptical. For now, it’s certainly a tantalizing subject for anyone interested in Amelia Earhart’s disappearance.

The Chances of a Plane Crash

If you’re someone who is worried about plane crashes, though, all this Earhart talk might make you feel anxious, not intrigued. But don’t worry — on a commercial aircraft, your odds of dying in an accident are about 1 in 10,769,230. You can fly on the same flight from Los Angeles to Hong Kong every day for the next 11,146 years without experiencing a fatal accident!

Small, private planes, however, are slightly more dangerous. In recent years, there have been a slew of small plane accidents, like a 2014 crash that killed six people. Pilot errors is generally attributed to such accidents. Smaller crafts also tend to land at smaller airports, which may not have paved runways, making the landing dangerous.

Plane Safety Tips

If the conversation about Amelia Earhart inspires you to take to the skies, here are some tips to follow:

  • On a commercial flight, pay attention to the preflight briefing, which will tell you what to do in case of an emergency
  • Don’t put anything too heavy in the overheard storage bins, as turbulence could cause it to fall and injure you
  • Find a non-stop flight to avoid your chances of being in an accident, since most accidents occur during takeoff or landing
  • If you are piloting your own plane, do not try any risky maneuvers
  • Keep an eye on the weather
  • Don’t operate a plane or other aircraft under the influence of alcohol or drugs

Happy flying— or, if you’re staying on the ground, happy reading all the upcoming Amelia Earhart conspiracy theories!


The attorneys at Perenich, Caulfield, Avril & Noyes represent those involved in car accidents, motorcycle accidents, bicycle accidents, pedestrian accidents, and other types of personal injury matters. Our firm is one of the oldest personal injury law firms in Tampa Bay. There are no attorneys’ fees or costs unless we prevail for you. Call our office 24 hours a day at 727-796-8282 or simply click here to schedule a free case consultation.


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